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Vanguard recently released their Economic and Stock Market Outlook for , a page report detailing what you should generally expect as an investor in You can read the full report by clicking here. Since the end of the Great Recession, economic growth has been slow and disappointing.

Some people believe the world is headed for Japanese-style secular stagnation. Better than expected inflation in the U. Fed will continue to tighten rates.

In the rest of the world, stimulus is still possible but will have less of an affect. Monetary policy in China is important but will be difficult in By late , market sentiment had quickly shifted from an overly pessimistic outlook of weak stagnation to an overly optimistic expectation of growth.

Forecasts of Economic Growth from the Bond and Stock Markets | Scholars@Duke

Both views are incorrect. Global growth should stabilize, not stagnate.

Tightening labor markets should place modest upward pressure on otherwise low inflation. But further monetary stimulus like negative interest rates will prove unproductive in spurring growth.

This guarded but not bearish! Most advisors, however, are far better at generating high fees than they are at generating high returns.

In truth, their core competence is salesmanship. With warnings and principles both precisely accurate and grandly counterintuitive, the Boglehead authors show how beating the market is a zero-sum game.

United States GDP Annual Growth Rate Forecast

Article by Vintage Value Investing. Developed by ValueWalk Team.

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